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Dec 24, 2025 12:00 PM

Deutsche Bank Flags Massive AI Spending 'With No Guaranteed Return' As Key Reason Behind Strong GDP Data

Deutsche Bank analysts raised concern on the crucial role of AI investments in the latest better-than-expected U.S. GDP data underscoring its significance in maintaining the country’s economic stability.

AI Spending Anchors US Economic Growth

The U.S. economy has been significantly bolstered by investments in AI-related sectors, according to a recent note from Deutsche Bank. The bank’s analysts, Adrian Cox and Stefan Abrudan, emphasized the pivotal role of tech-related spending in sustaining the country’s economic growth, reported Fortune.

The analysts said investment in AI-related sectors is critical to GDP growth, adding that the U.S. would be “close to recession” this year if not for tech-related spending, as other spending has flatlined post-Covid.

Deutsche Bank’s note also highlighted the substantial AI-related spending by hyperscalers, projecting a cumulative expenditure of $4 trillion on AI data centers through 2030. This amount surpasses the inflation-adjusted cost of the U.S. government’s moon-landing program in the 1960s ...