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Oct 7, 2025 12:40 PM

Going All-In On US AI Stocks? You're Missing The China Trade, Alpine Macro Says

As the battle for AI supremacy intensifies between the world's two largest economies, analysts say investors focused solely on U.S. tech stocks risk overlooking a critical hedge hiding in plain sight.

In a recent research report, Henry Wu, chief quantitative strategist at Alpine Macro—a firm owned by Oxford Economics—said investors piling into U.S. AI giants like Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA) are overlooking a growing geopolitical risk and missing a crucial China hedge that could protect their portfolios.

Why Diversifying AI Bets May Be Smarter Than Going All-In On The US

The AI boom may be global, but the risks are not evenly distributed.

According to Wu many U.S.-listed AI names still derive a meaningful chunk of demand—over 15% in Nvidia's case—from China, even through unofficial or gray-market channels.

But with China accelerating its push for full-stack self-sufficiency and the U.S. tightening export controls, the foundations of that demand are cracking. ...